Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences / Multipliers in the Analysis of Interregional Interactions

Full text (.pdf)
Issue
Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2023 16 (9)
Authors
Ibragimov, Naimjon M.; Ershov, Yurii S.
Contact information
Ibragimov, Naimjon M.: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; Novosibirsk National Research State University Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; Novosibirsk State Technical University Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; ; ORCID: 0000-0001-8540-5039; Ershov, Yurii S.: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; ; ORCID: 0000-0003-3526-3727
Keywords
spatial economy; multiregional input-output models; multiplier effects; interregional interactions
Abstract

Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS actively uses multiregional input-output models (MRIOMs) to build long-term macroeconomic forecasts for the development of the spatial economy of the Russian Federation. In addition to the fact that static MRIOMs serve as the basis for semi-dynamic ones, they allow us to give quantitative estimates of the interactions of regions, the degree of their interdependence and complementarity. The article discusses the problems of measuring the spatial multiplier effects of economic activity. To obtain more informative estimates, we conduct a retrospective multiplicative analysis – a comparison of the state of the economy in 2007 and 2015. To calculate the multipliers, we transform the MRIOM, built in the context of eight federal districts, into a three-zone Moses-Chenery multiregional input-output model. As a result, we obtained estimates of spatial direct-effect and final-demand multipliers, on the basis of which the structures of creation and use of products by region were determined. Based on the estimates obtained, we made conclusions about the significance of the regions under study

Pages
1630–1643
EDN
YQGIMY
Paper at repository of SibFU
https://elib.sfu-kras.ru/handle/2311/151700

Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).